Monday, March 1, 2010

SanDisk (SNDK) Raises Guidance

SanDisk is getting a lot of buzz this morning.  The company raised Q1 revenue forecast from $875M - $950M million to $925M - $1B.  Additionally, they raised Q1 margins to 40%.  The stock is trading around $31.50  

Immediately we already have at least 3 analysts upgrading the stock and raising the price target to upper $30's.  I think all this should put a floor under the stock.  Fundamentally, stock is cheap trading at 13.5x forward earnings (before raising the guidance) and 3.5x cash.  

I would generally take a rather much aggressive bullish stance with this kind of raised guidance, but given that the stock is already up some 8.5% this morning, I like the following bull put spread:

- Buy to open March $29 puts
- Sell to open March $30 puts

I just filled the order for net credit of $0.24.  As long as shares remain above $30 by March expiration, the trade pays 31% profit before commissions over next three weeks by expiration.  I like the odds.  

Good luck!